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Rooting out misguided policies that are distorting the economy

New Reason Study Calls for California Tax Reform

In his State of the State Address last week, California Governor Jerry Brown asserted, "California is back, its budget is balanced, and we are on the move." Sadly, economic reality belies the governor's optimism. California still has the third-highest unemployment rate in the nation at 9.8%, a rate 26% higher than the national average of 7.8%. It has the highest income tax rate in the nation, the highest state sales tax, the highest gas tax (tied with New York), and the eighth-highest corporate tax rate (and the highest rate west of the Mississippi River, making it even less competitive with its neighboring states). Add to this the fact that California has the worst credit rating in the nation (now tied with Illinois), mainly due to its significant debt and hundreds of billions of dollars in unfunded pension and retiree health care liabilities, and one of the worst—if not the worst—business climates in the country. The passage of Proposition 30, with its roughly $50 billion in new tax increases over the next seven years, last November certainly won't help matters. This is certainly not the track record of an economic powerhouse, or even a state on the upswing.

There are many ways to turn around the California's fiscal and economic fortunes—cutting spending, eliminating burdensome regulations, privatizing government services, ditching boondoggles like the California high-speed rail plan, implementing real pension reform, etc.—but today I would like to focus on how tax reform could help to revitalize the state. In addition to its high general personal income, corporate, and sales tax rates, California's tax code is plagued by numerous special carve-outs for politically-favored businesses and industries. In a new study by Reason Foundation and the Howard Jarvis Taxpayers Foundation, I highlight some of the more egregious corporate and sales and use tax credits, exemptions, and deductions offered by the state and argue that eliminating such tax breaks and using the "savings" to lower the overall corporate tax rate would promote a better business climate, and thus help improve the state's economy.

The results of such tax reforms could be significant. The Franchise Tax Board estimates (see page 10 of this California Senate Office of Oversight and Outcomes report) that if the Research and Development Credit alone were eliminated, the overall corporate tax rate could be reduced by about 14 percent, thus improving the business climate for all industries. If some of the other tax breaks discussed in this report were also eliminated—including the Accelerated Depreciation of Research and Experimental Costs, Double-Weighted Sales Factor, Film Credit, Low-Income Housing Credit, Hiring Credit, Percentage Depletion of Mineral and Other Natural Resources, and Expensing of Timber Growing Costs breaks (see Table 1 on page 14 of the study)—the Reason-Howard Jarvis report finds that California could likely reduce its overall corporate tax rate by more than 20 percent.

The infamous Solyndra case is a perfect example of why tax breaks are a bad idea. In addition to the $528 million in federal loan guarantees that taxpayers lost when the company went belly-up, the company also wasted $25 million in California state tax exemptions from a "green energy" tax credit program. Rather than trying to play favorites or cater to special interests through preferential treatment in the state's tax code, politicians should ensure that the playing field is level, and that tax rates are as low as possible, and otherwise let the free market and the choices of consumers and entrepreneurs—through the forces of supply and demand—determine which businesses and services are most desirable and best meet their needs.

When the state encourages economic activity in one segment of the economy—be it through tax breaks or direct subsidies—it necessarily discourages economic activity in all other segments of the economy by making them relatively less competitive. These opportunity costs are often ignored by policymakers. The error is compounded when you consider that much of the tax breaks end up being used for business activity that would have occurred with or without the tax breaks.

If this were not enough, another negative consequence of such tax breaks is that they breed even more special-interest lobbying. The more industry groups, environmental lobbys, or other special interests see that lobbying "investments" pay off, the more money is directed to lobbying Sacramento and the less is put to productive use in the economy.

If California wants to jump-start its economy and become a place that Gov. Jerry Brown and taxpayers across the state can be optimistic about, a good start would be to simplify and reduce its onerous taxes. The new Reason-Howard Jarvis study offers some recommendations about how to go about this:

 

  • Eliminate special tax treatment wherever possible, particularly in cases where:

 

a)     The tax break’s purpose is not clearly defined,

b)     The tax break is not serving its intended purpose or has outlived its intended purpose,

c)     The tax break is narrowly tailored to benefit a specific industry or type of business, or

d)     The tax break is clearly an example of the government picking winners or losers for ideological or special-interest reasons.

  • Wherever possible, lower broad tax rates down to tax break levels, rather than raise tax break levels up to broad tax rates.

 

  • Require a clear statement of purpose and performance measures for each tax break—including existing tax breaks without a clear statement of purpose or relevant performance measures—in order to facilitate evaluations of the impact of tax breaks on taxpayers and the state budget.
  • Eschew static analysis of state tax breaks and return to dynamic analysis of their effects on taxpayers and the state budget.
  • Establish a sunset commission to periodically evaluate tax breaks and other state regulations. A citizen’s commission would aid the legislative sunset commission similar to the state of Washington model. Adopt legislation requiring that both existing and future tax breaks must be evaluated every 5 or 10 years. Tax breaks not acted upon within this period would automatically be repealed.
  • Adopt a BRAC-style commission (similar to that used to close unneeded federal military bases) to evaluate existing tax breaks and regulations. The two-thirds supermajority makes it difficult enough to repeal existing tax breaks. Under such a process, an independent panel of taxpayers, perhaps with additional representatives from the Franchise Tax Board, State Board of Equalization, and Legislative Analyst’s Office, would be appointed to evaluate and recommend tax breaks for elimination. The recommendations, once approved by the governor, would be submitted to the legislature, which would not be allowed to make any amendments and could only vote up or down on the entire package. A simple majority of both houses would be required to approve the recommendations.

 

See the California tax credits study here.

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California Shouldn't Raise Minimum Wage

Democratic lawmakers in Sacramento, emboldened by their new supermajority status, are now tempted to use their added power to push an aggressive legislative agenda. One such effort, which they have tried, but failed, to implement during the past several years is an increase the state’s minimum wage, currently $8 an hour. Assemblyman Luis Alejo (D-Salinas), has introduced AB 10, which would increase the minimum wage to $9.25 an hour over three years and tie additional increases to inflation growth thereafter.

In a recent column for the Orange County Register, I argue that while a minimum wage might sound like a good and compassionate policy, it actually destroys job opportunities for many (not to mention the damage it does to the freedom to voluntarily agree to the price of one's labor).  The recent imposition of a living wage ordinance on large hotels in the City of Long Beach, California, is a case in point.  Consider the following excerpts from the O.C. Register article.

In the November 2012 election, voters in Long Beach overwhelmingly passed Measure N with 64 percent of the vote. The measure, pushed by labor unions such as Unite Here 11 and the Los Angeles County Federation of Labor, AFL-CIO, requires hotels with 100 or more rooms to pay their employees at least $13 an hour and guarantee annual raises.

After the passage of Measure N, Christine Petit of the Long Beach Coalition for Good Jobs and a Healthy Community, which sponsored the measure, crowed, “This ordinance means a lot to the workers, who will get the wage increases just in time for the holidays.” But this was a case of “Be careful what you wish for.”

In response to the measure's passage, some hotels were unable, or unwilling, to shoulder the extra financial burden. Instead of paying their employees more, they announced they'd lay off workers and reduce their number of available rooms so they would not have to comply with the new rules. The 174-room Best Western Golden Sails and the 143-room Hotel Current plan to dramatically reduce their number of available rooms to 99 rooms each to avoid the ordinance.

In December, just before the rules went into effect, the Best Western Golden Sails also reportedly posted a notice that "all employees will be considered terminated after their last shift of duty on or before Dec. 15." The Long Beach Press Telegram reported that "some" of the employees would be rehired but around 75 people were expected to permanently lose their jobs.

[. . .]

When a minimum wage law is imposed, or increased, business owners have a choice to make. They can reduce their costs, usually by laying off employees or cutting employees' hours, or they can try to increase their revenues by hiking prices and hoping customers will pay the higher prices.

[. . .]

Politicians in Sacramento should think long and hard about the fragile economy before pushing a minimum wage increase. For local and state businesses teetering on the edge of survival, the increased costs could be the last straw.

The good intentions of those who propose raising the minimum wage cannot outweigh its unintended consequences and economic reality. Try as they might, politicians can change the laws with regard to the minimum wage, but they cannot repeal the laws of supply and demand.

If the minimum wage was truly a wise and compassionate policy, then why stop at $9.25 an hour, as AB 10 proposes, or $13 an hour, as Long Beach mandated for large hotels? If arbitrarily raising the minimum wage to $13 an hour could magically create prosperity, why not raise it to $100 an hour? Wouldn't we all be rich if the minimum wage was raised to $100 an hour? The answer is obvious: business owners simply could not afford to pay $100 an hour, people would lose their jobs, stores would go out of business in droves, and commerce would grind to a halt. The fact that a minimum wage of $9.25 an hour or $13 an hour will not destroy quite as many jobs and businesses as a $100 an hour minimum wage is hardly reason to support it.

If simply passing laws could create wealth and eradicate poverty, politicians would be the most popular and celebrated people on the planet and people would avoid being poor without even having to work their way up the economic ladder. But take a good look around and ask yourself: Is this the way the world really works?

See the full op-ed article here.

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